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Seven Steps to a safer School

 

 

 

 

 


 

STEP 3: ANALYZE YOUR FINDINGS

• Look for larger, converging agreements among multiple data sources
• Focus on problems for which there are measurable data that support their existence
• Develop hypotheses regarding the causes and contingencies of the identified problems
• Using the Problem-Solving Worksheet and Guidelines, develop outcome goals by using the Goal Attainment Scaling Tool

Expanded Explanation:

Once the assessment data are gathered, the team needs to analyze them to create a series of action plans to address the problems.  Care must be taken to avoid the tendency to overanalyze the new information, but rather to look for larger, converging agreements among multiple data sources.  For instance, if (1) a significant percentage (e.g., more than 20%) of the students and adults endorsed a survey item that asked if they had ever witnessed bullying behavior in the school, (2) bullying was also raised by students at the listening sessions, and (3) the discipline records support the existence of the problem, then there is a convergence of data regarding this issue.  If desired, the reliability of this concern can be checked with a more detailed assessment tool or with a new one that focuses only on bullying, administered to the same persons or a random sample of that group. The goal of this analysis is, of course, to focus in on problems for which there are data that support their existence and which can be used to monitor the progress of the responses.

Develop Hypotheses:

Once the problems for prevention/intervention are identified, the team needs to develop action plans to address them. The Problem-Solving Worksheet and Guidelines can assist the team in this endeavor. Critical to this process is the development of hypotheses or informed hunches regarding the causes and contingencies of the identified problems.  The team should brainstorm as many possible hypotheses for the existence of the problem as possible.  For instance, if student fighting before school has been identified as a problem area, the team might hypothesize that:

• The fights occur due to lack of staff supervision
• The fights occur due to poor behavior management on the incoming busses
• The fights occur due to poor anger management/conflict resolution skills among the students
• The fights occur due to the presence of outside intruders

Notice that the hypotheses all contain implications for possible intervention. Avoid remote sociological or psychological explanations over which the school has little influence (e.g., “The fights occur due to the influences of poverty” or the “The fights occur because of low self-concepts among the fighters.”)

Following this exercise, the team should agree on one or more action hypotheses for intervention. The action aspect is determined by completion of the following stem:

“If (hypothesis) is true, then (intervention) will result in the desired outcome.”

In the above example, the team might conclude:

“If the fights occur due to lack of staff supervision, then assigning three additional staff members to outside duty before the start of school will result in a reduction of student fighting.”

The Problem-Solving Worksheet and Guidelines provides a structure for testing the hypotheses through a method known as Goal Attainment Scaling or GAS rating. This easy to use procedure involves defining successive levels of intervention progress on a five-point scale, i.e., -2 to +2, wherein 0 is the current status of the problem, -2 indicates that a problem is much worse and +2 indicates an intervention goal has been attained. With regard to the fighting problem, the team might conclude that GAS=1 would mean that the fights have been reduced 50% over a designated time period and GAS=2 means that they have been reduced 90% over than same period.  GAS ratings can help with the formulation of action hypotheses and can provide outcome data on a number of different interventions in the school. 

It may at times be more productive to develop GAS ratings on desirable rather than undesirable behaviors; that is, what behaviors do we want to see in our students instead?  Behaviors such as attendance, use of the peer mediation program, increased literacy test scores, membership in clubs or activities, or other measurable, positive behaviors can be targeted for increase.

This web site has been produced by The Melissa Institute for Violence Prevention and Treatment to provide research-based school violence prevention procedures for educators. The web site has been made possible with the generous support of the Robert and Renee Belfer Foundation and other supporters.
The Melissa Institute for Violence Prevention and Treatment to provide research-based school violence prevention procedures for educators
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